Early signs suggest a possible post-monsoon cyclone, potentially named "Cyclone Tej", developing near Mumbai around October 22–23. The weather agency has turned its attention to the Arabian Sea, where a low-pressure area may be forming in the southeast, close to the equatorial zone.
Current forecasts suggest that the city is less likely to experience heavy rainfall due to this system. However, due to the cyclonic disturbance, nighttime temperatures in Mumbai may drop to 22–23°C. Temperatures in Pune are also expected to drop, with forecasts indicating a range of 16–17°C from October 22–25. The cyclone may bring rain to South Konkan.
A social media post by Mumbai Rains (@rushikesh_agre_) on Platform X indicates that the first post-monsoon cyclone may be brewing in the Arabian Sea. Weather authorities expect a low-pressure area (LPA) to form by this evening or tonight. If conditions remain favourable, this could intensify into a significant cyclone.
Furthermore, Skymet Weather stated that warm Indian Ocean on account of positive IOD and marginally favoured MJO, together, may pop up a cyclonic disturbance shortly. Although it's too early for firm predictions, the report suggests that current trends point to a cyclonic circulation over the Southeast Arabian Sea around October 15.
While early forecasts suggest that a cyclone may form, its strength and path remain uncertain.